Selasa, 28 Desember 2010

[Z663.Ebook] Download PDF Pharmaceutical StatisticsFrom Brand: Pharmaceutical Pr

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Pharmaceutical StatisticsFrom Brand: Pharmaceutical Pr

Written specifically for pharmacy students, this book explains basic statistics. It contains chapters on basic concepts such as types of data, graphical representation of data, distribution and standard deviation. More advanced statistical techniques, such as ANOVA, are also discussed.

  • Sales Rank: #2995567 in Books
  • Brand: Brand: Pharmaceutical Pr
  • Published on: 2002-06
  • Original language: English
  • Number of items: 1
  • Dimensions: 9.00" h x 6.25" w x 1.25" l, 1.10 pounds
  • Binding: Paperback
  • 608 pages
Features
  • Used Book in Good Condition

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3 of 3 people found the following review helpful.
While Jones might be the best, no single statistics book is adequate for all common formulas.
By Tom Brody
Pharmaceutical Statistics (2008) by David Jones is 586 pages long and printed on high quality semi-glossy paper. The book excels in that it tends to disclose the theory behind the equations, rather than just the equations alone, and in that it provides a representative number of examples for each equation. A particular virtue of David Jones' book is that, in providing an example, it expressly discloses each step or operation that is used to solve the problem. In contrast, some statistics books just present the equations with no examples at all, or with only one example.

In buying this book, I was specifically interested in understanding standard deviations, the Z statistic, the t statistic, p values, confidence intervals, alpha values, hazard ratios, Wilcoxon rank sum test, critical values, sample size and power calculations, hazard ratios, logrank statistics, and survival curves (Kaplan-Meier curves).

In setting out to understand these equations, I also bought and read:
(1) Dawson and Trapp (2004) Basic & Clinical Biostatistics (Lange Series);
(2) Durham and Turner (2008) Introduction to Statistics in Pharmaceutical Clinical Trials;
(3) Kirkwood and Sterne (2003) Medical Statistics; and
(4) Motulsky (1995) Intuitive Biostatistics. In my opinion, Motulsky leaves the reader in a free-fall. On occasion, Motulsky provides some insight or guidance on using the various equations. But I would not recommend that any novice interested in statistics look first to Motulsky.
(5) Bart J. Harvey (2009) Statistics for Medical Writers and Editors. This short book is the best for understanding Standard Deviations. Harvey also has very good introductory material. The book's test questions might seem elementary, but they do establish some subtle but basic concepts. Harvey does not get much beyond SDs, and there is almost nothing about the t test or about p values.
(6) Rosner. Fundamentals of Statistics.

Providing that you have all three of these books -- Jones, Kirkwood, and Lange, it is possible to learn statistics for clinical trials. Jones is good in that it has more examples for solving. But Kirkwood is stronger on formulas for clinical trials.

KAPLAN-MEIER PLOTS. Jones fails to disclose Kaplan-Meier curves. For this topic, I refer the reader to the excellent discussion in Dawson & Turner. Kirkwood (pages 272-286) also discloses survival curves. But Lange (pages 221-244)is by far the best for this topic.

Z STATISTIC CALCULATION SCHEMES. First, plug in the population mean, SD of population, and sample mean, into the equation for Z, and arrive at a value for Z. (pages 102-105). Now, with a value for Z in hand, plug this value of Z into Appendix One (left-most column). When Z is plugged into Appendix One, you arrive at a value for probability (located in an inner column). This propability will be the likelihood of acquiring a value for that particular sample mean. The probability may be high, e.g., 0.80, or it might be low, e.g., 0.01. To repeat, the result is a probability value.

The author then discloses the reverse calculation scheme (pages 107-121). First, choose a probability value, for example, alpha = 0.10. Then, go to Appendix One until you get to a value in a column (an interior column). Then, look leftwards, and let your eyes find a home in the left-most column. At this point, you will find a value for Z. For example, Z = 1.28. Then, plug all the available information into the formula Z = (X - u) / sigma. The result will be a value for X, where X is a value for the sample mean that is taken to be a "critical value" or a "cut-off value." To repeat, the result is a "critical value."

What is confusing is that Jones fails to tell the reader that what is happening on pages 102-105 is a procedure going forwards, and that what is going on in pages 107-121 is the same procedure going backwards. That's all there is to it. What is also confusing is that Jones fails to tell us what to do about Z values that are negative. Appendix One of another book, Durham and Turner, is able to accomodate Z values that are positive, and also Z values that are negative. Even more confusing is that Table One of Jones has a massive error in it (page 556), which takes the form of a dramatic discontinuity in the numbers in the table.

CALCULATING Z. Jones is confusing on pages 87-94, 102-118, when he informs us that:

Z=[(sample mean)-(population mean)]/(SD of population)

This is confusing because another book, Rosner (page 244), informs us that:

Z=[(sample mean)-(population mean)]/[(SD of sample)/(square root of # of samples)]

Fortunately, we have Lange to turn to (pages 85-88 of Lange). Lange tells us that the first formula for Z is used when we are interested in individual observations, but that the second formula for Z is used when we are interested in the mean (and not in individual observations).

FORMULA for CONFIDENCE INTERVAL FOR SMALL SAMPLES. Pages 151-154 of Jones is equivalent to pages 53-55 of Kirkwood, for this simple formula. But Kirkwood's presentation of general information on Confidence Intervals (pages 50-53 of Kirkwood) is far superior to any presentation in Jones on this particular topic. Hence, I would recommend readers consult both Jones and Kirkwood for this formula.

WILCOXON SIGNED-RANK TEST. The Wilcoxon signed-rank test involves a simple transformation that any middle school student can perform, where the result is a T value (this is something separate from the t statistic). Following this simple transformation, the reader plugs the T value into a specialized formula for the Z statistic (pages 307-312 Jones). Jones is careful to provide some theory for the Wilcoxon signed rank test--the theory is that the Wilcoxon signed rank test needs to be used whenever the MEAN is a lot different from the MEDIAN (page 304 Jones) and that the Wilcoxon signed rank test is only used where one subject (given drug A) is compared with the same subject (given drug B or placebo).

For the Wilcoxon signed rank, I find that Jones is better than Lange. In Lange, the text provides an excellent description of how to do the Wilcoxon test, but the answer provided by Lange (-2.42), at least in my hands, should actually be another number (-1.947). Another problem with Lange is that Lange's parameters (mean & SD) shown on page 146 of Lange do not match up with the parameters given in Table 6.5 (page 146). Thus, for the Wilcoxon signed rank test I find Jones to be better than Lange.

SAMPLE SIZE AND POWER CALCULATIONS. Jones discloses sample size and power calculations on pages 172-179. The Jones narrative seems to come to a dead end on page 175, where delta is revealed as equaling 2.5 mL. But according to my calculations, delta should be 1.2 mL (50-48.8=1.2 mL). Lange (page 127) seems to lead to a dead end (since Lange fails to explain where the number -0.84 comes from). Kirkwood (pages 417-418) is the best of the books for sample size calculations, as Kirkwood provides a straightforward formula.

CONFUSING AND INCONSISTENT TERMINOLOGY IN STATISTICS BOOKS. In David Jones' book, the "the t statistic" is called "the t statistic." (page 153). But in Kirkwood, it is nowhere called "the t statistic," and instead it is called by three different terms: "t prime" (page 55), "percentage point of the t distribution with (n-1) degrees of freedom" (page 55), and "the t distribution" (page 55). In yet another book, Lange calls the "t statistic" not by "t statistic," but by the name, "critical value for the t distribution" (page 101 of Lange). Motulsky calls the "t statistic" "t asterisk" (page 41, Motulsky). A way out of this confusion, at least in part, is the fact that there are really TWO DIFFERENT NUMBERS. The first is that the "t statistic" is something calculated from the formula: t = (mean1 minus mean2) / (SD / square root of n) The second is that "critical value of the t statistic" is acquired by plugging two numbers (degrees of freedom, and predetermined probability value) into a table, and here no mathematics is used at all. To repeat, for the second of these TWO DIFFERENT NUMBERS, you do use any formula and no calculations are used.

DISORGANIZATION. A fault with all of the above statistics books is their gross disorganization (though Harvey's book is too small to be disorganized). The reader would have an easier time if the authors would devote one page to disclosing that statistics requires making ones way through this decision tree. There are four yes/no questions in this decision tree. These four yes/no questions are independent of each other:
(1) Are you interested in CI, or are you interested in hypothesis testing?
(2) Is your sample from a large group, e.g., 60 data points or more (then you should use Z statistic) or is your sample a small group, e.g., under 60 data points (then you use t statistic).
(3) Are you comparing one sample mean with a population mean? Or does your comparison involve a "paired measurement," that is, data from a STUDY DRUG GROUP and data from CONTROL GROUP, where you compare [sample mean#1 minus sample mean#2] with [population mean#1 minus population mean#2]?
(4) Does your experimental setup involved a 1-tailed experiment, or does your experimental setup involve a 2-tailed experiment?

Then, there are three additional decisions to make in the decision tree:

FIRST DECISION. If you are working with the t statistic, you can use it to acquire a P value (page 66, Kirkwood) or you can use it for comparing with the "critical value of the t statistic, for use in hypothesis testing (page 63, Kirkwood; page 140-141, Lange). To repeat, once you have a value for the "t statistic," you can use this value for two different purposes: (1) PLUG IT INTO A TABLE TO GET A P VALUE; or (2) COMPARE IT WITH THE CRITICAL VALUE OF THE t STATISTIC TO DO HYPOTHESIS TESTING.

SECOND DECISION. If you are working with the Z statistic, you can use it to acquire a P value (page 92, Jones), or you can use it to do hypothesis testing (pages 157-159 of Jones, page 244 of Rosner, page 141 of Lange). To repeat, once you have a value for the "Z statistic," you can use this value for two different purposes: (1) PLUG IT INTO A TABLE TO GET A P VALUE; or (2) COMPARE IT WITH THE CRITICAL VALUE OF THE NORMAL DISTRIBUTION TO DO HYPOTHESIS TESTING.

THIRD DECISION. If you are working with the Z statistic, you need to decide between two formulas. Z = [X-u]/[SD] (FIRST FORMULA); and Z = [X-u] / [(SD)/(square root of n)] (SECOND FORMULA).

The question is, when do you use the FIRST FORMULA and when do you use the SECOND FORMULA? Kirkwood fails to address this question. But Jones in combination with Lange provides excellent guidance as to when to use the FIRST FORMULA and when to use the SECOND FORMULA. For use of the FIRST FORMULA, see Jones pages 87-89 and Lange page 87. For use of the SECOND FORMULA, see Jones pages 156-159, and Lange pages 85-86. In a nutshell, the FIRST FORMULA is used for comparing data from a mean with a hypothetical value of interest to you (a value that you dreamed up out of thin air). The SECOND FORMULA is used when numbers are available for a Population Mean (and Population SD), and where numbers are available for a Sample Mean, and where your goal is to find probability of a hypothetic sample mean will have a value that is higher than (or lower than) the value of the sample mean. Jones does a better job at distinguishing between the two formulas than does Lange. Jones comes to the rescue!

The above collection of decisions in the decision tree is inherent in all of the statistics books, but the books fail to make explicit (or in an organized manner) the fact that these decisions are waiting for you in the text. In my opinion, there is no excuse for this sort of obscurity that so characterizes statistics books. It does not have to be this way.

The formulas used for clinical statistics have been around for over 100 years. The mathematics used in these books is on the level of a college freshman. Why is it that the presentation of statistics in all of these books is so disorganized, disjointed, and sporadic? These formulas are not rocket science. There is no excuse for generally uneven quality of the available statistics books.

0 of 0 people found the following review helpful.
Good!
By jan_07
Came in a timely fashion and in the same condition that it was stated to be in. Just stinks that my professor decided not to use the book once it got here!

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[F151.Ebook] Fee Download It's OK, I'm Wearing Really Big Knickers!: Further Confessions of Georgia Nicolson, by Louise Rennison

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It's OK, I'm Wearing Really Big Knickers!: Further Confessions of Georgia Nicolson, by Louise Rennison

Georgia's protestations on being forced to emigrate to New Zealand with her parents are so successful that soon she's on her way back to Britain to stay with her grandparents. Her life becomes even more mad than when she stayed with her parents.

  • Sales Rank: #7105808 in Books
  • Published on: 2003-06-03
  • Original language: English
  • Number of items: 1
  • Binding: Paperback
  • 224 pages

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0 of 0 people found the following review helpful.
Five Stars
By Stacya
Great

11 of 12 people found the following review helpful.
A young Bridget?
By Louise
There is the usual praise for the author's other books in the beginning of It's Okay, I'm.....and somewhere it says that Georgia, our heroine, is a youg Bridget Jones. And that is not all that wrong.
The book is about Georgia, aged 14 and her teenage trouble with parents, littlesister, boyfriends, school, looks etc.
The plot or non-plot of this book would have been utterly boring, if it wasn't for the very funny use of the English/British language. I am also sure every girl aged 12-99 can relate to some of Georgia's antics if not all of them.
I bought this book thinking it was about a young woman, not a teenage girl, but I nevertheless liked the book. I think all teenage girls will love it.

1 of 2 people found the following review helpful.
THIS IS SOOOOOO COOL
By Princess Mia
i think all the Georgia Nicolson books are great, for all those teenagers that really enjoyed Princess Diaries and The Sisterhood of the Travelling Pants! (or who didnt, it doesnt matter)

because i have read them all, and loved them all!!!

please read this, you will have a big laugh!

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Minggu, 26 Desember 2010

[A240.Ebook] Ebook Download The Poverty of Historicism (Routledge Classics) (Volume 88), by Karl Popper

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The Poverty of Historicism (Routledge Classics) (Volume 88), by Karl Popper

On its publication in 1957, The Poverty of Historicism was hailed by Arthur Koestler as 'probably the only book published this year which will outlive the century.'
A devastating criticism of fixed and predictable laws in history, Popper dedicated the book to all those 'who fell victim to the fascist and communist belief in Inexorable Laws of Historical Destiny.' Short and beautifully written, it has inspired generations of readers, intellectuals and policy makers. One of the most important books on the social sciences since the Second World War, it is a searing insight into the ideas of this great thinker.

  • Sales Rank: #399444 in Books
  • Brand: imusti
  • Published on: 2002-03-31
  • Released on: 2002-02-21
  • Original language: English
  • Number of items: 1
  • Dimensions: 7.80" h x .40" w x 5.08" l, .45 pounds
  • Binding: Paperback
  • 176 pages
Features
  • Routledge

Review
"Probably the only book published this year which will outlive the century."
-Arthur Koestler, author of "Darkness at Noon

About the Author
Karl Popper (1902-94). Philosopher, born in Vienna. One of the most influential and controversial thinkers of the twentieth century.

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0 of 0 people found the following review helpful.
Lessons for today
By johno
Although the original paper that this book was based on was written over eighty years ago, The Poverty of Historicism contains many important ideas that are still relevant today. One of those ideas is beware of those, such as the Greens, who propose to completely re-model society. No matter how well intentioned they may sound, it is not possible for humans to acquire all the knowledge needed to ensure that a radical overhaul of society will produce the intended outcomes. The Communists, Nazis and Fascists all believed in social revolution. They all ended up with the deaths of millions. Better to stick with small piecemeal changes that can be reversed if found not to work.

Solid going and definitely not a gentle bedtime read, but well worth the effort.

18 of 19 people found the following review helpful.
Non expert summary of the book
By Sudipto Sarkar
1. Historicism is a term that was invented by Karl Popper. He did it on purpose to prevent confusion with any other existing term.
2. The book is about methodology of social science but of course most of the conclusions are about the nature of social science.
3. He seeks to refute the two core arguments that are advanced to show that social science is not like science.
4. The anti naturalist doctrine says social science is not like science because unlike in science we cannot really follow the hypothesis>experiment>conclusion> refinement of hypothesis cycle. Various reasons are offered for this such as being unable to experiment, complexity of social science (includes biology, psychology etc.), novelty (every situation is unique because of the `uncertainty principle') and the fact that social experiments is not worth doing in a piecemeal fashion because their generalisability is very less.
5. The naturalist doctrine on the other hand looks at social science as being similar to astronomy (global laws which explain everything about the universe and cannot be disobeyed or overturned no matter what we do) and says that laws of social science can be found. These laws are not accurate in the short term but work very well in the long term across periods of history and in fact are necessary to be able to make out the transition between different periods of stages of history as the deeper content of each of these stages cannot be known with accuracy. Also these laws can be solely understood by studying the history that is records of past events. These laws are called Holism by Popper and he shows that even in the anti naturalist doctrine holism is popular because it is used as a constant between the various stages of history (which in the short term cannot be analysed and predicted).
6. The holism is central to historicism and leads to a position where in the short term we cannot do anything about social sciences in the manner of being able to rationally change and predict the consequences but in the long term we have to ensure that we are in tune with the tide of history as revealed by laws such which have roots in Plato's republic and the Marx's march of the proletariat etc. The only proactive thing we can do is to hasten the transition of various stages or change our values and beliefs to be in tune(Marx ...reduce the birthing pangs in contrast to his call to action of changing history rather than interpret it).
7. So what will work according to Popper :
a. In terms of experiments he suggests piecemeal engineering that is based on the scientific method. He says that scientific experiments may look on the surface easier to setup and control as compared to social experiments but this is because we are usually comparing a limited scope experiment to one on a large scale. If the scientific experiment was on the large scale as is expected in a social context it would be just as difficult.
b. Also large scale social experiments such as centralised planning are actually not helpful in understating cause and effect because it is very hard to learn from very large failures .Specifically with respect to planning they cannot centralise knowledge and control all kinds of relationships. To get around this they use propaganda and fear which defeats the purpose of seeing whether planning works to better the society as it stood before the start of the "experiment".
c. In a large scale social change recognise that often one can only offer interpretations based on various point of views(e.g. capitalist) and the starting conditions ( equivalent to initial conditions) as opposed try to come up with a set of unchanging laws that this large scale event seems to justify (e.g. Russian Revolution.
d. He rejects the holism argument and march of history as he says that there are no laws of social science that can be gleaned by studying many separate events. There is just a trend and a trend has to be explained by multiple laws. The mistake of historicism is to see trends as laws.
e. So even if these multiple laws were there they would not be that relevant because other than in fields such as theoretical physics ( law of gravity) the laws themselves act as background to solving a practical problem rather than being the cause of the practical problem (e.g. prediction of earthquakes in a place is not going to be found out by applying the law of gravity although any hypothesis must be consistent with gravity).
f. So to solve these practical problems we can take the piecemeal engineering approach by formulating the hypothesis as negative statements ( e.g. progress in science cannot occur in a totalitarian regime). These can then be tested using the experimental approach.
g. We should take a technological view of social science ( build a building to guard against a storm) as opposed to a theoretical view ( explain the occurrence of storms in a location over 30 years).
h. The poverty of historicist is a poverty of imagination as it says that there cannot be a scientific approach to social science but at the same time there are absolute and unchanging laws - called essentialism on the lines of Plato's Republic (that only a few people understand ) which TODAY (this generation, this period in history where the historicist is) are operating far quicker than ever before because of the "pace of progress".

0 of 0 people found the following review helpful.
Complex, but fascinating.
By Michael J Wurth
Great book for a deeper understanding of the historicist mindset along with their strengths and weaknesses. Recommended for those with background in philosophy and social sciences.

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Rabu, 22 Desember 2010

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PHP and MySQL for Beginners, by Mark Lassoff

So you're getting comfortable with HTML, CSS and Javascript? You're up for the next challenge? The PHP programming language coupled with the mySQL database is the final step toward making a complete application. Many commercial e-commerce sites, membership sites and even online communities use PHP. Once you learn PHP online you can use this free technology to build just about any type of web presence you can imagine. If you're a mobile developer, you need to learn PHP and MySQL too. Most mobile devices consume web-based services. There is no easier way to create web services designed to be consumed by mobile devices than PHP-- guaranteed! In this PHP and MySQL book you'll join master trainer Mark Lassoff as you learn all of the major concepts that beginning PHP developers need to master. You'll be able to code along with Mark as he demonstrates everything from simple PHP commands to more advanced database applications. Each lesson features a companion lab exercise, which will help you retain, reinforce and remember each concept in the course. So are you ready to learn PHP?

  • Sales Rank: #722410 in Books
  • Published on: 2014-05-09
  • Original language: English
  • Number of items: 1
  • Dimensions: 9.00" h x 1.17" w x 6.00" l, 1.51 pounds
  • Binding: Paperback
  • 518 pages

About the Author
Mark Lassoff 's parents frequently claim that Mark was born to be a programmer. Starting, in the mid-eighties at age 11, Mark was hard at work on his Commodore 64 writing games in the BASIC language. Today, Mark is a publisher, top technical trainer and author, providing software, mobile and web development training Mark is a sought after video trainer, speaker and host. Mark has trained programmers at Fortune 500 companies and government agencies world-wide. Mark's clients have included Aflak, Discover Card Services, the US Department of Interior and Symantec. A recognized expert in front end web and mobile development, Mark continues to teach at conferences regularly. Mark Lassoff currently works as founder of LearnToProgram, Inc., a Connecticut-based company that publishes online courses that teach mobile, web, and game development. Over 100,000 people have learned programming from Mark through online and live classes and free tutorials. Loads of free tutorials and courses can be found at www.learntoprogram.tv. Mark’s twitter is @mlassoff.

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0 of 0 people found the following review helpful.
Five Stars
By Robert Ignacio
Extremely satisfied with the seller and the quality of the product.

12 of 13 people found the following review helpful.
Many typos
By Kevin Larsen
Disclaimer: I received a PDF version of this book free so I could "beta-review" this book on Amazon.

I wanted to give this book 5 stars. At $10, it's 10x cheaper than the $99 video course. The version I received had many typos that require you to know how to fix them; Exactly what a "beginner" doesn't need. The first chapter was great, telling you how to set up a server and a great editor. The second chapter had terrible typos including -+ instead of -=, /br instead of br/, and so forth. Looking over your options, if you can deal with a lot of typos, this is the cheapest way to get a thorough grounding in PHP. Online video equivalents are $25/month or about $99 to buy outright. I think this definitely needs better editing, since it's a great value for $10. If you can afford a video course, you'd be better off, but if you want to save money this is it.

6 of 6 people found the following review helpful.
Great startup book.
By Candace Neider
The book is great for beginners. The first chapter walks you through the installation and set up of the recommended freeware. Then after a quick introduction to the software it gets you writing your first PHP script. From there the chapters build on one another in a logical and systematic way.

What I appreciate most about this book is the use of screen-caps that accompany the text. This helped to increase my understanding of the topic significantly.

All in all. Mark did a great job of providing an easy to follow, informative, beginners PHP/MySQL resource.

I would absolutely recommend this book to anyone new to web development or even programming as a whole as the book covers certain ideas that are fairly universal to all programming languages.

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Minggu, 19 Desember 2010

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Sabtu, 04 Desember 2010

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  • Sales Rank: #1959910 in eBooks
  • Published on: 2015-01-06
  • Released on: 2015-01-06
  • Format: Kindle eBook

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